Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe weather near Chapel Hill

ChathamUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 23 July 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 68 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 7 July 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 23 at 9:28AM EDT until July 23 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC

An estimated 1,501,069 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates35.7593, -79.0360
Nearest CityChapel Hill (17 km)
Population Exposed1.5M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-23T13:28:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e558033519d4a08d59bb4fdd2b1a8f50

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescChatham, NC; Harnett, NC; Lee, NC; Moore, NC; Wake, NC; Alamance, NC; Chatham, NC; Durham, NC; Granville, NC; Orange, NC
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 23 at 9:28AM EDT until July 23 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC
Expires2026-07-23T12:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Raleigh NC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e558033519d4a08d59bb4fdd2b1a8f50db14b233.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.251f139ff355b4166ee1b159cdf24a6b14c788d2.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Chapel Hill (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.